{"id":127800,"date":"2025-04-23T17:16:41","date_gmt":"2025-04-23T17:16:41","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/cryptospotters.net\/?p=127800"},"modified":"2025-04-23T17:16:41","modified_gmt":"2025-04-23T17:16:41","slug":"forget-bull-or-bear-bitcoins-in-a-new-era-says-onchain-analyst-james-check","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/cryptospotters.net\/?p=127800","title":{"rendered":"Forget bull or bear \u2014 Bitcoin\u2019s in a new era, says onchain analyst James Check"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Source: Cointelegraph.com NewsFor years, crypto investors have looked to the four-year cycle, anchored around Bitcoin\u2019s halving events, as a kind of sacred roadmap. The theory goes: Every four years, Bitcoin\u2019s supply is cut in half, triggering a bullish frenzy, followed by a euphoric peak, a brutal crash, and then a slow recovery. Rinse, repeat.<br \/>\nBut what if that model is starting to break? That is what onchain analyst James Check suggests.<br \/>\nIn an interview with Cointelegraph, Check said that the tidy frameworks that once defined Bitcoin\u2019s market behavior are no longer as useful in today\u2019s macro-driven, institutionally influenced environment.<br \/>\nRather than labeling the current market as \u201cbull\u201d or \u201cbear,\u201d Check paints a more nuanced picture. Bitcoin, he argues, is now driven more by macroeconomic conditions and investor psychology than by predictable cycles or halving dates. As such, the lines between bull and bear get blurry.<br \/>\n\u201cThe world doesn\u2019t operate on four-year cycles,\u201d he says. \u201cYou can imagine a headline tomorrow where suddenly all these tariffs get pulled back  and markets start to move. I can just as easily construct a case where the next headline could send all risk assets into a pretty nasty decline.\u201d<br \/>\nCheck also breaks down why the $70K\u2013$75K range is such a critical confidence zone for the Bitcoin market \u2014 and how thinking in terms of scenarios rather than predictions is key for an investor\u2019s long-term success.<br \/>\nCheck out the full interview on Cointelegraph&#8217;s YouTube channel, and don\u2019t forget to subscribe!<br \/>\nFor years, crypto investors have looked to the four-year cycle\u2014anchored around Bitcoin\u2019s halving events\u2014as a kind of sacred roadmap. The theory goes: every four years, Bitcoin\u2019s supply is cut in half, triggering a bullish frenzy, followed by a euphoric peak, a brutal crash, and then a slow recovery. Rinse, repeat.<br \/>\nBut what if that model is starting to break?<br \/>\nThat\u2019s exactly what leading on-chain analyst James Check suggests in our latest interview. In his view, the tidy frameworks that once defined Bitcoin\u2019s market behavior are no longer as useful in today\u2019s macro-driven, institutionally influenced environment.<br \/>\nRather than labeling the current market as \u201cbull\u201d or \u201cbear,\u201d James paints a more nuanced picture. Bitcoin, he argues, is now driven more by macroeconomic conditions and investor psychology than by predictable cycles or halving dates. And in that world, the lines between bull and bear get blurry.<br \/>\n\u201cThe world doesn\u2019t operate on four-year cycles,\u201d he says. \u201cYou can imagine a headline tomorrow where suddenly all these tariffs get pulled back  and markets start to move. I can just as easily construct a case where the next headline could send all risk assets into a pretty nasty decline.\u201d<br \/>\nCheck also breaks down why the $70K\u2013$75K range is such a critical confidence zone for the Bitcoin market\u2014and how thinking in terms of scenarios rather than predictions is key for an investor\u2019s long-term success.<br \/>\nCheck out the full interview on our YouTube channel\u2014and don\u2019t forget to subscribe!<a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/forget-bull-or-bear-bitcoin-s-in-a-new-era-says-market-analyst-james-check?utm_source=rss_feed&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"feedzy-rss-link-icon\" rel=\"noopener\">Read More<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Source: Cointelegraph.com NewsFor years, crypto investors have looked to the four-year cycle, anchored around Bitcoin\u2019s halving events, as a kind of sacred roadmap. The theory goes: Every four years, Bitcoin\u2019s&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[5],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/cryptospotters.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/127800"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/cryptospotters.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/cryptospotters.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/cryptospotters.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=127800"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/cryptospotters.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/127800\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/cryptospotters.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=127800"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/cryptospotters.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=127800"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/cryptospotters.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=127800"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}